Category Archives: trade

Trump’s Tax Cut Will Worsen the Current Account Deficit

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January 19, 2018 —  President Trump and the Republicans succeeded last month in passing their big tax cut.  It may not have many of the desirable attributes of true tax reform (equity, efficiency, bi-partisanship, revenue-neutrality, or cyclical timing); but it is major legislation, as promised.  What about that other major Trump promise, to cut the US trade deficit?  The tax cut is virtually certain to raise the budget deficit and in turn to raise – not lower – the current account deficit.  Call it the Return of the Infamous Twin Deficits.  As when Ronald Reagan cut taxes in 1981-83 or when George W. Bush cut taxes in 2001 and 2003. Continue reading

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Inequality Falls Globally, Even as it Rises Within-Country

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January 16, 2018 — There are lots of measures of inequality.  If we are interested only in income distribution within the United States, it doesn’t matter much which one we look at:  They all show rising inequality, as noted in my preceding blogpost.   But when we look at inequality internationally, which measure we look at makes all the difference. Continue reading

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Long-term Job Decline in US Manufacturing

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Nov. 10, 2017 — What does international trade have to do with US jobs?  Surely the US trade deficit in manufacturing has reduced employment?  Not as much as you would think, on net.  Continue reading

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