Author Archives: jfrankel

Why is the Nobel Prize sometimes awarded to economists with opposing viewpoints?

Share Button

April 14, 2022  —   Question from The International Economy:  Economics is the only field in which people can share a Nobel Prize for arriving at the complete opposite conclusion, something that arguably actually happened.  Should the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences Be Put on Hold? —

My response:

It is true that the Prize in Economics in Memory of Alfred Nobel has been awarded in the same year to economists representing opposite viewpoints.  Not just once, but three times.

In 2013, the topic was stock markets. The winners included both Eugene Fama, for his work on the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH), and Robert Shiller, for his rejection of the EMH in favor of the existence of bubbles, excessive volatility, and investor behavior that departs from rational expectations. read more

Share Button

Surprisingly Strong Sanctions

Share Button

March 21, 2022 — The surprising strength of economic sanctions deployed multilaterally against Russia this month has been exceeded only by the surprising strength of the heroic Ukrainian resistance to the invasion of their territory.  True, it is hard to imagine sanctions bringing the Russian economy to its knees faster than Russian troops are able to complete the hundred-mile advance to Kyiv from the border.  But sanctions have gone macroeconomic.  Ultimately, the Russian economy will suffer severely and lastingly. read more

Share Button

Fighting the Last Inflation War

Share Button

February 27, 2022 — When Fed Chairman William McChesney Martin delivered his famous line about central banks, his key point was that it is their job to take away the punch bowl just when the party really gets going, rather than waiting until revelers have turned drunken and raucous. In the aftermath of the 1970s inflation, it became an item of faith that monetary authorities shouldn’t wait until elevated inflation shows its face, before reining in an overheating economy.  They are currently developing a renewed appreciation for the wisdom of this old metaphor. read more

Share Button