August 30, 2018 — US economic statistics are currently good. But the next recession could be bad.
The Next Recession Could Be a Bad One
Author Archives: jfrankel
Rising US Real Interest Rates Imply Falling Commodity Prices
August 25, 2018 — Real interest rates tend to have a negative effect on real prices of commodities: oil and gas, minerals, and agricultural commodities. One might hazard the prediction that US real interest rates are headed up, and therefore, other things equal, real commodity prices will decline.
Could the July 25 Trump-Juncker Trade Agreement Work?
August 8, 2018 –– President Trump and European Commission President Juncker, in the Rose Garden July 25, announced EU-US trade negotiations. Here are my answers to questions on the negotiations, in the event they actually take place.