August 12, 2019 –The US-China trade war heated up in the first week of August. On August 1, Donald Trump abruptly announced plans to impose a 10 % tariff on the remaining $300 billion of imports from China that he had not already hit with earlier tariffs. The Chinese authorities then allowed their currency, the renminbi (RMB), to fall in value below the highly visible line of 7.0 RMB/$. The US Administration promptly reacted on August 5 by naming China a “currency manipulator” — the first time any country had been given that designation in 25 years. Pundits declared a currency war, while investors responded by immediately sending stock markets down.
Category Archives: monetary policy
Let’s Forget about 2% Inflation
July 28, 2019 — The Fed has some reasons for cutting interest rates at its meeting July 31, or subsequently if the US economy weakens. (And there are some good arguments on the other side as well, if growth remains as strong as it has been over the last year.) But I find less persuasive one argument for easing: a perceived imperative to get inflation up to 2.0% or higher.
Moore on Gold and Commodities
April 30, 2019 — A century ago, the gold standard was considered a guarantor of monetary stability. That golden era is long-gone. (If it ever really existed at all. The general price level fell 53% in US and 45% in the UK during 1873-1896 due to a dearth of gold deposit discoveries.)
Continuing my thoughts on the Fed candidacy of Stephen Moore: he has said several times that he favors a return to gold. In true Trumpian fashion, he recently denied having said it despite the clear video evidence.
