The Revised Troubled Asset Relief Plan Should Have Passed

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When the Treasury came out with its $750 bailout plan on September 22, I  thought it lacked so many necessary ingredients that it deserved a thumbs down.  (Many others had similar objections, including George Soros.)

But in the negotiations between the Treasury and Congressional leaders over the course of last week, most of the missing ingredients were inserted.    Starting with the additions that were most necessary on the merits, and moving toward the ones where the necessity was more political, they were: read more

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An Emerging Consensus Against the Paulson Plan: Washington Should Force Bank Capital Up, Not Just Socialize the Bad Loans

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In time of war, there is a tendency for both political parties to rally around the president, as we saw (all too well) in Iraq after September 11.In time of financial panic, there is often a similar inclination.The two presidential candidates, for example, are being careful in their statements.I don’t blame them.The issues are too complex to be taken on inside the context of a political campaign.Both candidates realize that the danger of a verbal misstep that the other side can try to blame for worsening the crisis is far greater than the likelihood that either one will come up with a brilliant solution that will gain widespread support or will solve the problem, let alone both. read more

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What Does It Take to Define Away the Statistics Showing Economic Performance Under Democratic Presidents Superior to That Under Republicans?

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Economic Policy Institute, September 2008.

A panel on Supply Side Economics in Washington, September 12, included statistics on the superior performance of the American economy under President Clinton compared to his Republican successor. (The graph to the right, from Ettlinger & Irons, shows the first term of each administration.  The growth gap during the second terms was even wider.)  Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers gave some statistics that included Democratic versus Republican presidents throughout the postwar period.   As others have also pointed out, the Democratic record dominates to a surprising extent.   (The event was jointly sponsored by the Center for American Progress and the Economic Policy Institute.) read more

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