The Next Recession Could Be a Bad One
August 30, 2018 — US economic statistics are currently good. But the next recession could be bad.
Rising US Real Interest Rates Imply Falling Commodity Prices
August 25, 2018 — Real interest rates tend to have a negative effect on real prices of commodities: oil and gas, minerals, and agricultural commodities. One might hazard the prediction that US real interest rates are headed up, and therefore, other things equal, real commodity prices will decline.
