“Trump Tariffs Will Do Harm, Experts Say”

Share Button

March 9, 2018 — PBS NewsHour asked some of us six questions about the new tariffs.  My responses appear below.  The others’ are at: “Trump’s tariffs will do more harm than good, experts say,” March 8.

PBS: Would President Trump’s proposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports help create more jobs in the United States, as he argues?

JF: The import tariffs are likely to create a few jobs specifically in the US firms that make steel and aluminum. The important point, however, is that such positive effects will be far outweighed by negative effects on other sectors. read more

Share Button

Larry Summers’ Explanation for $ Decline

Share Button

March 5, 2018 — Why has the dollar fallen since January 2017?   My answer is an economic turnaround in the rest of the world.  Also the level of the dollar remains rather high.  But Larry Summers has a different answer.

Share Button

Bogle, Bubbles & the February Market Correction

Share Button

March 3, 2018 — I am honored that John Bogle has commented on my recent column, ”The February Stock Market Correction.”  In it I repeated my claim that 2017 saw a “bubble” in the #VIX – i.e., a market perception of low risk in US stocks that was unjustified by fundamentals – and I added that the bubble had burst in February. Bogle of course is the genius who made low-cost index #mutualfunds widely available.  His comment & my reply are at Barron’s: “Bogle on Bubbles.”. read more

Share Button