China’s Slowdown

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(Jan. 22, 2016) Investors worldwide are closely watching the steep decline in China’s stock market. The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index is down more than 40% since June 2015.

The reason observers are concerned is not because they themselves are invested: China’s stocks are overwhelmingly held by Chinese themselves.  Rather, many are interpreting it as evidence that China’s economy is going down the tubes.

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Forecasting 2016 Economic Developments & Candidates’ Reactions

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(Jan. 4, 2016)   As the new year starts, Politico asks a set of economists for forecasts.

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The Fed, China and Oil

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(1/1/2016) My answers to three questions at the start of 2016 (from Chosun Ilbo, leading Korean newspaper):

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